Consulting

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Trafalgar v. Gallup

Watch for any pattern


This Trafalgar poll is of likely voters. It has been recording a spike compared to prior LV polls from around April (the tariff period). LV screens tend to run higher for Trump than polling all adults. Still, if a spike occurs in one, a spike should occur in the other, even if they have different baselines. This may show us whether Gallup has a methodical deflation problem.



Originally published in Politics;  All rights reserved.

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